Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.063972 0.072129 0.080561 0.089901 0.099929 0.110346 0.121959
2025-02-16 0.046949 0.058502 0.071197 0.086047 0.102810 0.121023 0.142179
2025-02-23 0.039255 0.053362 0.069683 0.089626 0.113014 0.139269 0.170665
2025-03-02 0.033585 0.049440 0.068646 0.093002 0.122471 0.156420 0.197935
2025-03-09 0.026760 0.042967 0.063575 0.090713 0.124569 0.164547 0.214460
2025-03-16 0.021126 0.037134 0.058516 0.087720 0.125213 0.170492 0.228080
2025-03-23 0.018829 0.035506 0.058626 0.091055 0.133540 0.185653 0.252771
2025-03-30 0.016521 0.033501 0.057942 0.093125 0.140119 0.198612 0.274827
2025-04-06 0.014941 0.032361 0.058282 0.096439 0.148242 0.213503 0.299353
2025-04-13 0.012675 0.029782 0.056278 0.096316 0.151694 0.222418 0.316447
2025-04-20 0.012280 0.030275 0.058800 0.102543 0.163675 0.242329 0.347503
2025-04-27 0.010264 0.027625 0.056307 0.101429 0.165608 0.249227 0.362118
2025-05-04 0.008874 0.026013 0.055453 0.102864 0.171372 0.261627 0.384504
2025-05-11 0.007212 0.023579 0.053086 0.101953 0.173884 0.269868 0.401802
2025-05-18 0.006777 0.023612 0.054800 0.107252 0.185233 0.290003 0.434743
2025-05-25 0.006231 0.023298 0.055871 0.111555 0.195210 0.308405 0.465604
2025-06-01 0.004860 0.020762 0.052796 0.109161 0.195390 0.313493 0.478973
2025-06-08 0.003628 0.018167 0.049307 0.105846 0.194022 0.316334 0.489292
2025-06-15 0.003306 0.017930 0.050196 0.109645 0.203182 0.333680 0.518978
2025-06-22 0.002884 0.017288 0.050231 0.111994 0.210185 0.348094 0.544853
2025-06-29 0.002626 0.017082 0.051098 0.115739 0.219322 0.365546 0.574922
2025-07-06 0.002107 0.015833 0.049731 0.115601 0.222525 0.374711 0.593892
2025-07-13 0.002136 0.016544 0.052479 0.122618 0.236762 0.399488 0.634112